AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Yankees @ Rangers

Wed, Apr 29 6:35 PMGlobe Life FieldMLB.TV
Final
NYY 0 - 3 TEX
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
NYY +1.5·TEX -1.5
Moneyline
NYY -113·TEX -107
Total
8.5
Yankees
Away
Yankees
74-56
41-28 road
W
L
W
W
W
Rangers
Home
Rangers
65-66
36-29 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-120· moderate risk
72%

The Yankees hold a meaningful quality gap over the Rangers — 20-10 record vs 14-16, +1.7 run differential vs +0.2, and an 8-2 ATS run last 10 — but the unknown ERA of debutant Elmer Rodriguez caps confidence below PICK threshold.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Elmer Rodriguez
NYY
Elmer Rodriguez
(0-2, 4.76)
4.76
ERA
Nathan Eovaldi
TEX
Nathan Eovaldi
(10-9, 4.21)
4.21
ERA

Season Series — NYY 4 - TEX 2

NYY 9-2 TEX
May 7
NYY 6-1 TEX
May 6
NYY 7-4 TEX
May 5
NYY 3-0 TEX
Apr 29
NYY 3-2 TEX
Apr 29
NYY 4-2 TEX
Apr 28

Batting

0.230
#28
AVG
0.241
#20
0.716
#18
OPS
0.706
#23
179
#2
HR
143
#20
579
#18
R
521
#28
552
#18
RBI
502
#27
126
#5
SB
63
#26

Pitching

3.20
#1
ERA
4.19
#20
1.170
#4
WHIP
1.290
#14
1164
#8
K
1104
#14
395
#8
BB
387
#5
52
#6
QS
42
#18
39
#5
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

9.0
#8
K/9
8.7
#11
0.224
#3
OPP AVG
0.247
#18
0.657
#2
OPP OPS
0.723
#20
72
#14
HLD
66
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

64-66
Overall ATS
57-74
35-34
Away/Home ATS
31-34
52-59
As Favorite
25-49
12-7
As Underdog
32-25
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-9
7-3
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.1
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.45
R/G
3.98
3.68
RA/G
4.33
0.8
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

NYYRyan WeathersSP
15-Day-IL
NYYRyan McMahon3B
10-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
60-Day-IL
NYYKervin CastroRP
15-Day-IL
TEXJack LeiterSP
60-Day-IL
TEXJosh Jung3B
10-Day-IL
TEXNathan EovaldiSP
15-Day-IL
TEXJose CorniellRP
60-Day-IL
TEXJalen BeeksRP
60-Day-IL
TEXKyle HigashiokaC
10-Day-IL
TEXMichael HelmanCF
60-Day-IL
TEXRobert GarciaRP
60-Day-IL