NBA Matchup

Trail Blazers @ Spurs

Wed, Apr 29 1:30 AMFrost Bank CenterESPN

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

SA -10.5

Moneyline

POR +425·SA -575

O/U

219.5

Away

Trail Blazers

42-40

18-23 road

#7 seed

Home

Spurs

62-20

32-8 home

#2 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Spurs -12.5

-110· moderate risk

72%

San Antonio holds an +8.4 Net Rating advantage over Portland, the single strongest predictor of NBA outcomes, compounded by Lillard being OUT and the Spurs winning the last two H2H meetings by 21 and 12 points respectively.

View full analysis

Season Series — POR 1 - SA 4

POR 114-95 SA

Apr 29

POR 114-93 SA

Apr 26

POR 120-108 SA

Apr 25

POR 106-103 SA

Apr 22

POR 111-98 SA

Apr 20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

46-36

Overall ATS

39-43

22-19

Away/Home ATS

21-20

8-6

As Favorite

13-12

38-30

As Underdog

26-31

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

5-5

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: +5.1

Avg margin: -3.0

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +2.8

Avg margin: -2.8

Scoring

115.5

#29

PPG

119.8

#13

115.8

Opp PPG

111.5

-0.3

+/-

8.3

Shooting

40.3

#29

FG%

48.4

30.2

#28

3PT%

41.8

76.4

#19

FT%

76.0

#20

Team Stats

40.6

#23

RPG

44.4

#10

21.4

#26

APG

24.6

#19

12.4

TOPG

13.6

#12

7.6

#19

STL

8.4

#12

4.8

#12

BLK

7.2

1.7

#19

A/TO

1.8

#13

Injuries

PORDamian LillardG

Out

SADavid Jones GarciaF

Out