NBA Matchup

Cavaliers @ Raptors

Fri, May 1 11:30 PMScotiabank ArenaPrime Video

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

CLE -4.5

Moneyline

CLE -198·TOR +164

O/U

218.5

Away

Cavaliers

52-30

25-16 road

#4 seed

Home

Raptors

46-36

24-17 home

#5 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Cavaliers -3.5

-110· moderate risk

72%

Cleveland holds a +4.9 PPG advantage, superior efficiency metrics across the board, and an elite 26-15 ATS road record (.634) against a Toronto team missing Quickley for the season and Ingram questionable in a must-win Game 6 scenario.

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Season Series — CLE 4 - TOR 3

CLE 114-102 TOR

May 3

CLE 112-110 TOR

May 1

CLE 125-120 TOR

Apr 29

CLE 93-89 TOR

Apr 26

CLE 126-104 TOR

Apr 24

CLE 115-105 TOR

Apr 20

CLE 126-113 TOR

Apr 18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

49-33

Overall ATS

49-33

26-15

Away/Home ATS

25-16

43-30

As Favorite

10-5

6-3

As Underdog

39-28

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

4-6

Last 10 ATS

5-5

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: -7.7

Avg margin: +9.5

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: +5.6

Avg margin: -4.3

Scoring

119.5

#18

PPG

114.6

#17

115.4

Opp PPG

111.8

4.1

+/-

2.8

Shooting

45.9

#17

FG%

46.5

#13

33.1

#25

3PT%

35.6

#11

73.5

#26

FT%

72.7

#28

Team Stats

41.4

#19

RPG

40.3

#24

21.7

#26

APG

26.3

15.4

#29

TOPG

14.9

#23

7.8

#17

STL

9.1

5.1

BLK

5.7

1.4

#28

A/TO

1.8

#14

Injuries

TORBrandon IngramF

Out

TORImmanuel QuickleyG

Out

TORChucky HepburnG

Out