NBA Matchup

Hawks @ Heat

Sun, Apr 12 10:00 PMKaseya CenterFanDuel SN Sun

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

MIA -10.5

Moneyline

ATL +360·MIA -470

O/U

239.5

Away

Hawks

46-36

22-19 road

#6 seed

Home

Heat

43-39

26-15 home

#10 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Hawks +4.5

-110· moderate risk

72%

Atlanta is an elite road ATS team at 23-17 (.575) facing a Miami squad that is ice cold ATS at 3-7 over their last 10 games, creating a meaningful structural edge on the spread.

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Prediction Market

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ATS Records

41-41

Overall ATS

38-44

23-19

Away/Home ATS

22-19

13-19

As Favorite

21-24

28-22

As Underdog

17-20

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

5-5

Last 10 ATS

7-3

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +1.2

Avg margin: -1.1

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -0.6

Avg margin: +0.6

Scoring

118.5

#27

PPG

120.9

116.0

Opp PPG

118.5

2.5

+/-

2.4

Shooting

43.6

#25

FG%

46.8

31.2

#27

3PT%

36.1

72.2

#29

FT%

79.2

Team Stats

36.8

#30

RPG

46.3

22.2

#24

APG

29.0

14.3

#16

TOPG

13.1

7.3

#23

STL

8.6

#13

4.8

#13

BLK

4.3

#21

1.5

#25

A/TO

2.2

Injuries

ATLKeshon GilbertG

Out

ATLJock LandaleC

Out

MIATyler HerroG

Out

MIABam AdebayoC

Out

MIADru SmithG

Out

MIANikola JovicF

Out