NBA Matchup

Lakers @ Warriors

Fri, Apr 10 2:00 AMChase CenterPrime Video

Odds

Draft Kings

Spread

GS -4.5

Moneyline

LAL +160·GS -192

O/U

225.5

Away

Lakers

50-29

24-16 road

#4 seed

Home

Warriors

37-42

22-18 home

#10 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Lakers +4.5

-110· moderate risk

68%

Lakers carry a +1.2 point differential advantage and rank #1 in FG% (50.0%) against a Warriors team that is 17-22 ATS at home this season, while both rosters are decimated by injuries making the 4.5-point home line look inflated.

View full analysis

Season Series — LAL 2 - GS 1

LAL 129-101 GS

Mar 1

LAL 105-99 GS

Feb 8

LAL 119-109 GS

Oct 22

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

42-37

Overall ATS

34-44

20-20

Away/Home ATS

17-22

29-19

As Favorite

20-27

13-18

As Underdog

14-17

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

3-7

Last 10 ATS

4-6

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -2.1

Avg margin: +1.0

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: -1.3

Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

116.3

#11

PPG

114.8

#19

115.3

Opp PPG

115.0

1.0

+/-

-0.2

Shooting

50.0

FG%

46.1

#24

35.6

#19

3PT%

35.7

#17

76.3

#25

FT%

80.3

Team Stats

41.1

#27

RPG

42.4

#21

25.6

#19

APG

29.0

13.8

#17

TOPG

15.0

#27

8.3

#17

STL

9.8

4.3

#22

BLK

4.3

#22

1.9

#14

A/TO

1.9

#14

Injuries

LALJaxson HayesC

Out

LALMarcus SmartG

Out

LALLuka DoncicG

Out

LALAustin ReavesG

Out

GSWill RichardG

Day-To-Day

GSCharles BasseyC

Day-To-Day

GSGui SantosF

Day-To-Day

GSLJ CryerG

Day-To-Day

GSKristaps PorzingisC

Out

GSStephen CurryG

Day-To-Day

GSAl HorfordC

Out

GSQuinten PostC

Out

GSMoses MoodyG

Out

GSJimmy Butler IIIF

Out