NBA Matchup

Nuggets @ Spurs

Mon, Apr 13 12:30 AMFrost Bank CenterESPN

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

SA -9.5

Moneyline

DEN +340·SA -440

O/U

235.5

Away

Nuggets

54-28

26-15 road

#3 seed

Home

Spurs

62-20

32-8 home

#2 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Nuggets +10.5

-110· high risk

72%

Denver is missing 7 players but the -10.5 spread is far too large for a team that went 1-2 against San Antonio this season with all three games decided by 5 points or fewer, and the Nuggets are an elite road ATS team at 23-17 (.575) even shorthanded.

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Prediction Market

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ATS Records

38-44

Overall ATS

39-43

20-21

Away/Home ATS

21-20

27-34

As Favorite

13-12

11-10

As Underdog

26-31

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

4-6

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -3.9

Avg margin: +3.9

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +2.8

Avg margin: -2.8

Scoring

122.1

#20

PPG

119.8

116.9

Opp PPG

111.5

5.2

+/-

8.3

Shooting

43.6

#25

FG%

46.9

31.1

#28

3PT%

36.1

82.3

FT%

80.4

Team Stats

38.3

#28

RPG

47.7

24.5

#18

APG

25.4

#13

11.8

TOPG

14.4

#18

7.3

#23

STL

8.7

#11

4.2

#23

BLK

7.6

2.1

A/TO

1.8

#14

Injuries

DENAaron GordonF

Out

DENPeyton WatsonG

Out

SADavid Jones GarciaF

Out