NBA Matchup

Nuggets @ Timberwolves

Fri, May 1 1:30 AMTarget CenterESPN

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

DEN -7.5

Moneyline

DEN -310·MIN +250

O/U

223.5

Away

Nuggets

54-28

26-15 road

#3 seed

Home

Timberwolves

49-33

26-15 home

#6 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Nuggets -5.5

-110· moderate risk

68%

Anthony Edwards (OUT) removes Minnesota's primary offensive engine, and Denver's superior efficiency metrics (+4.1 Net RTG advantage, +5.2 vs +3.4 point differential) compound that loss in a must-win road spot where they've already won Game 5 by 12.

View full analysis

Season Series — DEN 2 - MIN 4

DEN 110-98 MIN

May 1

DEN 125-113 MIN

Apr 28

DEN 112-96 MIN

Apr 26

DEN 113-96 MIN

Apr 24

DEN 119-114 MIN

Apr 21

DEN 116-105 MIN

Apr 18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

38-44

Overall ATS

39-43

20-21

Away/Home ATS

17-24

27-34

As Favorite

26-36

11-10

As Underdog

13-7

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

4-6

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -3.9

Avg margin: +3.9

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -4.6

Avg margin: +5.0

Scoring

122.1

#20

PPG

118.0

#19

116.9

Opp PPG

114.6

5.2

+/-

3.4

Shooting

43.6

#25

FG%

43.7

#24

31.1

#28

3PT%

33.7

#23

82.3

FT%

75.1

#23

Team Stats

38.3

#28

RPG

45.5

24.5

#18

APG

23.3

#22

11.8

TOPG

13.2

#10

7.3

#23

STL

6.4

#27

4.2

#24

BLK

3.4

#29

2.1

A/TO

1.8

#14

Injuries

DENAaron GordonF

Out

DENPeyton WatsonG

Out

MINDonte DiVincenzoG

Out