NBA Matchup

Spurs @ Trail Blazers

Sun, Apr 26 7:30 PMModa CenterESPN

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

SA -5.5

Moneyline

SA -225·POR +185

O/U

217.5

Away

Spurs

62-20

29-12 road

#2 seed

Home

Trail Blazers

42-40

24-17 home

#7 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Spurs -5.5

-110· high risk

68%

San Antonio holds a dominant +8.4 Net Rating advantage over Portland, the single strongest predictor of NBA outcomes, but Wembanyama's day-to-day concussion status and Portland's strong home ATS record cap this to a lean.

View full analysis

Season Series — SA 4 - POR 1

SA 114-95 POR

Apr 29

SA 114-93 POR

Apr 26

SA 120-108 POR

Apr 25

SA 106-103 POR

Apr 22

SA 111-98 POR

Apr 20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43

Overall ATS

46-36

18-23

Away/Home ATS

24-17

13-12

As Favorite

8-6

26-31

As Underdog

38-30

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

5-5

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +2.8

Avg margin: -2.8

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: +5.1

Avg margin: -3.0

Scoring

119.8

#13

PPG

115.5

#29

111.5

Opp PPG

115.8

8.3

+/-

-0.3

Shooting

48.4

FG%

40.3

#29

41.8

3PT%

30.2

#28

76.0

#20

FT%

76.4

#19

Team Stats

44.4

#10

RPG

40.6

#23

24.6

#19

APG

21.4

#26

13.6

#12

TOPG

12.4

8.4

#12

STL

7.6

#19

7.2

BLK

4.8

#12

1.8

#13

A/TO

1.7

#19

Injuries

SADavid Jones GarciaF

Out

PORDamian LillardG

Out