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NBA Matchup

Spurs @ Thunder

Thu, May 21 12:30 AMPaycom CenterNBC

Odds

DraftKings
Spread
OKC -7.5
Moneyline
SA +210·OKC -258
O/U
213.5
Spurs
Away
Spurs
62-20
29-12 road
#2 seed
L
L
W
W
W
Thunder
Home
Thunder
64-18
34-7 home
#1 seed
W
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

PICK
Thunder -6.5
-110· moderate risk
76%

OKC's 8-2 ATS run last 10 combined with a .698 home ATS record and superior defensive efficiency (105.4 Def RTG vs 108.5) creates a multi-layered edge that San Antonio cannot easily overcome on the road in a playoff elimination context.

View full analysis

Season Series — SA 1 - OKC 2

SA 123-108 OKC
May 23
SA 122-113 OKC
May 21
SA 122-115 OKC
May 19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43
Overall ATS
56-27
18-23
Away/Home ATS
30-13
13-12
As Favorite
53-26
26-31
As Underdog
3-1
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
6-4
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +2.8
Avg margin: -2.8
ATS Win%
0.7%
Avg spread: -9.0
Avg margin: +12.5

Scoring

119.8
#5
PPG
119.0
#1
111.5
Opp PPG
107.9
8.3
+/-
11.1

Shooting

48.1
#4
FG%
49.4
#2
37.2
#6
3PT%
38.7
#2
80.0
#6
FT%
84.6
#1

Team Stats

47.6
#1
RPG
41.0
#20
25.1
#14
APG
26.8
#7
14.7
#21
TOPG
10.7
#1
8.3
#13
STL
10.6
#2
7.8
#1
BLK
4.6
#17
1.7
#20
A/TO
2.5
#1

Injuries

SADavid Jones GarciaF
Out
OKCJalen WilliamsG
Out
OKCAjay MitchellG
Out
OKCThomas SorberC
Out