NBA Matchup

Suns @ Thunder

Sun, Apr 19 7:30 PMPaycom CenterABC

Odds

Draft Kings

Spread

OKC -16.5

Moneyline

PHX +850·OKC -1450

O/U

216.5

Away

Suns

45-37

20-21 road

#8 seed

Home

Thunder

64-18

34-7 home

#1 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Suns +13.5

-110· high risk

62%

OKC is the clearly superior team, but a 13.5-point spread in a playoff Game 1 is historically steep even for elite home teams, and Phoenix's offensive rebounding edge (28.9% vs 22.3%) plus potential Mark Williams presence could keep this closer than the line implies.

View full analysis

Season Series — PHX 0 - OKC 1

PHX 119-84 OKC

Apr 19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

32-50

Overall ATS

56-27

16-25

Away/Home ATS

30-13

19-25

As Favorite

53-26

13-25

As Underdog

3-1

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

2-8

Last 10 ATS

8-2

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: -0.4

Avg margin: -3.0

ATS Win%

0.7%

Avg spread: -9.0

Avg margin: +12.5

Scoring

112.6

#30

PPG

119.0

111.1

Opp PPG

107.9

1.5

+/-

11.1

Shooting

34.9

#30

FG%

45.2

#23

33.3

#23

3PT%

30.4

#27

72.2

#25

FT%

91.3

Team Stats

45.0

RPG

54.0

16.0

#30

APG

28.0

17.0

#28

TOPG

6.0

3.0

#29

STL

13.0

2.0

#27

BLK

7.0

0.9

#30

A/TO

4.7

Injuries

PHXMark WilliamsC

Day-To-Day

PHXJordan GoodwinG

Day-To-Day

OKCThomas SorberC

Out