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NBA Matchup

Thunder @ Nuggets

Sat, Apr 11 1:00 AMBall ArenaAltitude Sports

Odds

Draft Kings
Spread
DEN -11.5
Moneyline
OKC +400·DEN -535
O/U
232.5
Thunder
Away
Thunder
64-16
30-9 road
#1 seed
W
W
W
W
W
Nuggets
Home
Nuggets
52-28
27-13 home
#3 seed
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

PICK
Thunder +11.5
-110· high risk
78%

Oklahoma City is missing 9 players yet still owns a +7.2 point differential advantage over Denver, and Denver's key stars Jokic and Murray are both questionable — making an 11.5-point spread extremely difficult to justify for the home side.

View full analysis

Season Series — OKC 3 - DEN 0

OKC 129-126 DEN
Mar 9
OKC 127-121 DEN
Feb 28
OKC 121-111 DEN
Feb 2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-41
Overall ATS
42-38
20-19
Away/Home ATS
19-21
36-40
As Favorite
25-31
3-1
As Underdog
17-7
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
6-4
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -10.7
Avg margin: +12.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -4.1
Avg margin: +4.9

Scoring

119.4
#5
PPG
121.9
#1
107.3
Opp PPG
117.0
12.1
+/-
4.9

Shooting

48.5
#3
FG%
49.6
#2
36.5
#9
3PT%
39.5
#1
82.0
#2
FT%
80.7
#5

Team Stats

44.2
#13
RPG
43.7
#15
25.7
#17
APG
29.0
#4
12.0
#2
TOPG
12.2
#3
9.7
#3
STL
6.8
#30
5.5
#6
BLK
3.9
#29
2.1
#6
A/TO
2.4
#1

Injuries

OKCJaylin WilliamsF
Out
OKCIsaiah HartensteinC
Out
OKCIsaiah JoeG
Out
OKCAlex CarusoG
Out
OKCAjay MitchellG
Out
OKCCason WallaceG
Out
OKCShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Out
OKCJalen WilliamsG
Out
OKCChet HolmgrenC
Out
OKCThomas SorberC
Out
DENCameron JohnsonF
Day-To-Day
DENChristian BraunG
Day-To-Day
DENNikola JokicC
Day-To-Day
DENJamal MurrayG
Day-To-Day
DENAaron GordonF
Day-To-Day
DENSpencer JonesF
Out
DENPeyton WatsonG
Out