NBA Matchup

Timberwolves @ Nuggets

Sat, Apr 18 7:30 PMBall ArenaPrime Video

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

DEN -7.5

Moneyline

MIN +220·DEN -270

O/U

232.5

Away

Timberwolves

49-33

23-18 road

#6 seed

Home

Nuggets

54-28

28-13 home

#3 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Timberwolves +6.5

-110· moderate risk

72%

Anthony Edwards missing is a massive 3-5 point line swing, yet Minnesota is only getting 6.5 — the market may already be overcompensating, and Denver's defensive rating (114.4) suggests they allow enough points to keep this close even shorthanded.

View full analysis

Season Series — MIN 4 - DEN 2

MIN 110-98 DEN

May 1

MIN 125-113 DEN

Apr 28

MIN 112-96 DEN

Apr 26

MIN 113-96 DEN

Apr 24

MIN 119-114 DEN

Apr 21

MIN 116-105 DEN

Apr 18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43

Overall ATS

38-44

22-19

Away/Home ATS

18-23

26-36

As Favorite

27-34

13-7

As Underdog

11-10

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

4-6

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -4.6

Avg margin: +5.0

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -3.9

Avg margin: +3.9

Scoring

118.0

#18

PPG

122.1

#20

114.6

Opp PPG

116.9

3.4

+/-

5.2

Shooting

43.7

#24

FG%

43.6

#25

33.7

#23

3PT%

31.1

#28

75.1

#23

FT%

82.3

Team Stats

45.5

RPG

38.3

#28

23.3

#22

APG

24.5

#18

13.2

#10

TOPG

11.8

6.4

#27

STL

7.3

#23

3.4

#29

BLK

4.2

#24

1.8

#14

A/TO

2.1

Injuries

MINDonte DiVincenzoG

Out

DENAaron GordonF

Out

DENPeyton WatsonG

Out