NBA Matchup

Timberwolves @ Nuggets

Sat, Apr 18 7:30 PMBall ArenaPrime Video

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

DEN -7.5

Moneyline

MIN +220·DEN -270

O/U

232.5

Away

Timberwolves

49-33

23-18 road

#6 seed

Home

Nuggets

54-28

28-13 home

#3 seed

AI Analysis

LOSTMinnesota Timberwolves 105, Denver Nuggets 116

Timberwolves +6.5

-110· moderate risk

Anthony Edwards missing is a massive 3-5 point line swing, yet Minnesota is only getting 6.5 — the market may already be overcompensating, and Denver's defensive rating (114.4) suggests they allow enough points to keep this close even shorthanded.

View full analysis

Season Series — MIN 1 - DEN 1

MIN 119-114 DEN

Apr 21

MIN 116-105 DEN

Apr 18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43

Overall ATS

38-44

22-19

Away/Home ATS

18-23

26-36

As Favorite

27-34

13-7

As Underdog

11-10

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

4-6

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -4.6

Avg margin: +5.0

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -3.9

Avg margin: +3.9

Scoring

118.0

#16

PPG

122.1

114.6

Opp PPG

116.9

3.4

+/-

5.2

Shooting

46.9

FG%

43.9

#25

36.8

3PT%

32.5

#25

67.3

#29

FT%

84.1

Team Stats

46.0

RPG

45.0

25.5

#16

APG

27.5

#11

12.5

TOPG

11.0

6.5

#24

STL

6.0

#25

2.5

#25

BLK

1.0

#29

2.0

A/TO

2.5

Injuries

DENPeyton WatsonG

Out