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NBA Matchup

Timberwolves @ Nuggets

Tue, Apr 28 2:30 AMBall ArenaNBC

Odds

DraftKings
Spread
DEN -11.5
Moneyline
MIN +390·DEN -520
O/U
226.5
Timberwolves
Away
Timberwolves
49-33
23-18 road
#6 seed
L
W
W
W
L
Nuggets
Home
Nuggets
54-28
28-13 home
#3 seed
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Timberwolves +11.5
-110· high risk
72%

Minnesota is missing two key players including Anthony Edwards, but the -11.5 spread is massive for a playoff series where the Wolves have won Games 1 and 2 and hold a 3-1 series lead, with Denver covering only 18-23 (.439) ATS at home this season.

View full analysis

Season Series — MIN 3 - DEN 2

MIN 125-113 DEN
Apr 28
MIN 112-96 DEN
Apr 26
MIN 113-96 DEN
Apr 24
MIN 119-114 DEN
Apr 21
MIN 116-105 DEN
Apr 18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43
Overall ATS
38-44
22-19
Away/Home ATS
18-23
26-36
As Favorite
27-34
13-7
As Underdog
11-10
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -4.6
Avg margin: +5.0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -3.9
Avg margin: +3.9

Scoring

118.0
#13
PPG
122.1
#19
114.6
Opp PPG
116.9
3.4
+/-
5.2

Shooting

47.0
#8
FG%
43.3
#26
35.5
#15
3PT%
30.1
#29
78.2
#12
FT%
82.7
#2

Team Stats

46.6
#4
RPG
39.4
#26
26.0
#8
APG
24.6
#19
14.4
#18
TOPG
11.6
#3
6.2
#27
STL
8.0
#14
3.4
#28
BLK
3.4
#28
1.8
#13
A/TO
2.1
#4

Injuries

MINDonte DiVincenzoG
Out
MINAnthony EdwardsG
Out
DENAaron GordonF
Day-To-Day
DENPeyton WatsonG
Out