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NBA Matchup

Timberwolves @ Nuggets

Tue, Apr 28 2:30 AMBall ArenaNBC

Odds

DraftKings
Spread
DEN -11.5
Moneyline
MIN +390·DEN -520
O/U
226.5
Timberwolves
Away
Timberwolves
road
W
W
L
W
L
Nuggets
Home
Nuggets
home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Timberwolves +11.5
-110· high risk
72%

Minnesota is missing two key players including Anthony Edwards, but the -11.5 spread is massive for a playoff series where the Wolves have won Games 1 and 2 and hold a 3-1 series lead, with Denver covering only 18-23 (.439) ATS at home this season.

View full analysis

Season Series — MIN 1 - DEN 3

MIN 117-108 DEN
Mar 1
MIN 142-138 DEN
Dec 26
MIN 123-112 DEN
Nov 16
MIN 127-114 DEN
Oct 28

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

37-45
Overall ATS
44-38
19-22
Away/Home ATS
20-21
26-34
As Favorite
26-31
11-11
As Underdog
18-7
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -4.4
Avg margin: +3.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -4.0
Avg margin: +5.1

Scoring

Shooting

48.1
#9
FG%
49.6
#2
37.0
#6
3PT%
39.6
#1
75.2
#29
FT%
80.8
#5

Team Stats

44.1
#12
RPG
44.0
#14
26.1
#16
APG
29.0
#4
14.1
#19
TOPG
12.2
#3
8.7
#12
STL
6.8
#30
5.8
#2
BLK
4.0
#27
1.8
#21
A/TO
2.4
#1

Injuries

MINDonte DiVincenzoG
Out
DENAaron GordonF
Day-To-Day
DENTrevon BrazileF
Day-To-Day