NBA Matchup

Timberwolves @ Spurs

Tue, May 5 1:30 AMFrost Bank CenterNBCSN

Odds

DraftKings

Spread

SA -10.5

Moneyline

MIN +310·SA -395

O/U

218.5

Away

Timberwolves

49-33

23-18 road

#6 seed

Home

Spurs

62-20

32-8 home

#2 seed

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Spurs -12.5

-110· moderate risk

68%

San Antonio holds a +4.9 Net Rating advantage (8.1 vs 3.2) while Minnesota is missing Anthony Edwards and potentially a third guard in Dosunmu, creating a compounded talent gap that likely exceeds the spread adjustment already baked in.

View full analysis

Season Series — MIN 2 - SA 4

MIN 139-109 SA

May 16

MIN 126-97 SA

May 13

MIN 114-109 SA

May 10

MIN 115-108 SA

May 9

MIN 133-95 SA

May 7

MIN 104-102 SA

May 5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-43

Overall ATS

39-43

22-19

Away/Home ATS

21-20

26-36

As Favorite

13-12

13-7

As Underdog

26-31

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -4.6

Avg margin: +5.0

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +2.8

Avg margin: -2.8

Scoring

118.0

#19

PPG

119.8

114.6

Opp PPG

111.5

3.4

+/-

8.3

Shooting

43.7

#24

FG%

48.1

33.7

#23

3PT%

37.2

75.1

#23

FT%

80.0

Team Stats

45.5

RPG

47.6

23.3

#22

APG

25.1

#14

13.2

#10

TOPG

14.7

#21

6.4

#27

STL

8.3

#13

3.4

#29

BLK

7.8

1.8

#14

A/TO

1.7

#20

Injuries

MINDonte DiVincenzoG

Out

SADavid Jones GarciaF

Out