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NHL Matchup

Canadiens @ Lightning

Wed, Apr 29 11:00 PMBenchmark International ArenaESPN2
Final
MTL 3 - 2 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Puck Line
MTL +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MTL +130·TB -155
Total
5.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Lightning ML
-170· high risk
72%

Andrei Vasilevskiy holds a meaningful crease advantage over Jakub Dobes (.912 vs .901 SV%, 2.31 vs 2.78 GAA), and Tampa Bay is the home favorite in a dead-even series where home ice has flipped every result.

View full analysis
Canadiens
Away
Canadiens
null road
L
W
L
W
W
Lightning
Home
Lightning
null home
L
W
W
L
L

Season Series — MTL 2 - TB 2

MTL 2-1 TB
Apr 9
MTL 4-1 TB
Mar 31
MTL 5-4 TB
Dec 28
MTL 6-1 TB
Dec 10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

48-34
Overall ATS
43-39
24-17
Away/Home ATS
24-17
4-10
As Favorite
33-29
44-24
As Underdog
10-10
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
7-3
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

Goaltending

0.895
#17
SV%
0.902
#8
3.06
#17
GAA
2.79
#3
2282
#18
SA
2189
#8

Offense

279
#7
G
286
#4
481
#4
A
502
#2
2156
SOG
2305
56
#7
PP G
51
#15

Discipline

849
#28
PIM
1207
#32

Injuries

TBPontus HolmbergRW
Out