AiAlpha.bet
NHL Matchup

Canadiens @ Lightning

Sun, May 3 10:00 PMBenchmark International ArenaTNT
Final
MTL 2 - 1 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Puck Line
MTL +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MTL +136·TB -162
Total
5.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
+136· high risk
62%

Montreal's elite team SV% (91.6%, #7) and dominant ATS form (7-3 last 10, 24-17 on the road) offset Vasilevskiy's individual goalie edge and Tampa's home advantage.

View full analysis
Canadiens
Away
Canadiens
48-24-10
24-9-8 road
106 pts
L
W
W
L
W
Lightning
Home
Lightning
50-26-6
26-14-1 home
106 pts
L
W
L
W
L

Season Series — MTL 4 - TB 3

MTL 2-1 TB
May 3
MTL 1-0 TB
May 1
MTL 3-2 TB
Apr 29
MTL 3-2 TB
Apr 26
MTL 3-2 TB
Apr 24
MTL 3-2 TB
Apr 21
MTL 4-3 TB
Apr 19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

48-34
Overall ATS
43-39
24-17
Away/Home ATS
24-17
4-10
As Favorite
33-29
44-24
As Underdog
10-10
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
7-3
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

3.45
#17
GF/G
3.54
#27
3.12
#16
GA/G
2.82
#4
0.4
DIFF
0.7

Goaltending

0.908
#7
SV%
0.897
#17
2.69
#6
GAA
2.29
#2
456
#16
SA
156
#4

Offense

51
#17
G
15
#27
89
#17
A
25
#28
386
SOG
196
13
#17
PP G
5
#24

Discipline

261
#16
PIM
89
#8

Injuries

TBPontus HolmbergRW
Out