NHL Matchup

Maple Leafs @ Islanders

Thu, Apr 9 10:45 PMUBS ArenaESPN+

Odds

Draft Kings

Puck Line

TOR +1.5·NYI -1.5

Moneyline

TOR +220·NYI -270

Total

6.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Islanders ML

-270· moderate risk

68%

New York deploys Ilya Sorokin behind a top-5 team SV% (90.3%) and a 0.66 GAA advantage against an unproven Akhtyamov in a must-win spot for Toronto.

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Away

Maple Leafs

32-32-14

14-19-6 road

78 pts

Home

Islanders

42-31-5

21-14-2 home

89 pts

Season Series — TOR 0 - NYI 2

TOR 3-1 NYI

Mar 17

TOR 4-3 NYI

Jan 4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

34-44

Overall ATS

41-37

18-21

Away/Home ATS

17-20

8-24

As Favorite

5-25

26-20

As Underdog

36-12

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

5-5

Last 10 ATS

6-4

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: +0.3

Avg margin: -0.5

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.3

Scoring

3.10

#16

GF/G

2.90

#24

3.58

#30

GA/G

2.94

-0.5

DIFF

0.0

Goaltending

0.898

#15

SV%

0.903

3.53

#29

GAA

2.87

2521

#32

2196

#18

Offense

241

#16

222

#24

390

#20

369

#25

2076

SOG

2180

#25

PP G

#27

Discipline

712

#20

PIM

618

#10

Injuries

TORDakota JoshuaC

Out

TORBrandon CarloD

Out

TORAnthony StolarzG

Out