NHL Matchup

Lightning @ Bruins

Sat, Apr 11 4:30 PMTD GardenABC

Odds

Draft Kings

Puck Line

TB -1.5·BOS +1.5

Moneyline

TB -125·BOS +105

Total

6.5

AI Analysis

Boston's 51-28 (.646) ATS record and elite home splits (25-14 ATS at home, 28-10-1 SU) combined with Tampa's current L3 skid and Brandon Hagel's absence give the Bruins a meaningful edge as a live home underdog at +105.

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Away

Lightning

48-25-6

23-12-5 road

102 pts

Home

Bruins

43-26-10

28-10-1 home

96 pts

Season Series — TB 3 - BOS 0

TB 3-1 BOS

Apr 4

TB 6-5 BOS

Feb 1

TB 4-3 BOS

Oct 13

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

38-41

Overall ATS

51-28

22-18

Away/Home ATS

25-14

27-40

As Favorite

11-15

11-1

As Underdog

40-13

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

4-6

Last 10 ATS

7-3

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -1.0

Avg margin: +0.7

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: +0.5

Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

3.57

GF/G

3.34

#11

2.82

GA/G

3.11

#21

0.8

DIFF

0.2

Goaltending

0.902

SV%

0.901

#10

2.80

GAA

3.08

#21

2117

2355

#30

Offense

278

260

#11

488

450

#10

2228

SOG

2147

#13

PP G

Discipline

1187

#32

PIM

966

#31

Injuries

TBBrandon HagelLW

Out

TBPontus HolmbergRW

Out

BOSDans LocmelisC

Out