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NHL Matchup

Lightning @ Canadiens

Sun, Apr 26 11:00 PMBell CentreESPN
Final
TB 3 - 2 MTL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Puck Line
TB -1.5·MTL +1.5
Moneyline
TB -118·MTL -102
Total
5.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
-105· high risk
62%

Montreal holds meaningful home advantages in team SV% (+1.2%), ATS performance (7-3 last 10, .585 overall), and goal differential edge (+0.66), partially offsetting Vasilevskiy's individual goalie superiority

View full analysis
Lightning
Away
Lightning
50-26-6
24-12-5 road
106 pts
W
L
W
L
Canadiens
Home
Canadiens
48-24-10
24-15-2 home
106 pts
L
W
L
W

Season Series — TB 2 - MTL 2

TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 26
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 24
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 21
TB 4-3 MTL
Apr 19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

43-39
Overall ATS
48-34
19-22
Away/Home ATS
24-17
33-29
As Favorite
4-10
10-10
As Underdog
44-24
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +0.9
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

3.54
#26
GF/G
3.45
#26
2.82
#7
GA/G
3.12
#7
0.7
DIFF
0.4

Goaltending

0.882
#28
SV%
0.883
#27
2.75
#8
GAA
2.75
#8
93
#1
SA
94
#2

Offense

11
#26
G
11
#26
19
#27
A
21
#24
94
SOG
93
4
#20
PP G
5
#19

Discipline

71
#11
PIM
73
#12

Injuries

TBCharle-Edouard D'AstousD
Day-To-Day
TBPontus HolmbergRW
Out
MTLNoah DobsonD
Out