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NHL Matchup

Lightning @ Canadiens

Fri, May 1 11:00 PMBell CentreESPN2
Final
TB 1 - 0 MTL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Puck Line
TB -1.5·MTL +1.5
Moneyline
TB -120·MTL +100
Total
5.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
-105· moderate risk
68%

Montreal holds a meaningful team SV% edge (90.3% vs 88.0%) and is 7-3 ATS in their last 10, while Vasilevskiy's individual edge is partially offset by Tampa's poor team goaltending infrastructure and Montreal's superior home/underdog ATS record (44-24, .647).

View full analysis
Lightning
Away
Lightning
50-26-6
24-12-5 road
106 pts
L
W
L
W
L
Canadiens
Home
Canadiens
48-24-10
24-15-2 home
106 pts
L
W
W
L
W

Season Series — TB 3 - MTL 4

TB 2-1 MTL
May 3
TB 1-0 MTL
May 1
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 29
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 26
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 24
TB 3-2 MTL
Apr 21
TB 4-3 MTL
Apr 19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

43-39
Overall ATS
48-34
19-22
Away/Home ATS
24-17
33-29
As Favorite
4-10
10-10
As Underdog
44-24
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +0.9
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

3.54
#27
GF/G
3.45
#17
2.82
#4
GA/G
3.12
#16
0.7
DIFF
0.4

Goaltending

0.897
#17
SV%
0.908
#7
2.29
#2
GAA
2.69
#6
156
#4
SA
456
#16

Offense

15
#27
G
51
#17
25
#28
A
89
#17
196
SOG
386
5
#24
PP G
13
#17

Discipline

89
#8
PIM
261
#16

Injuries

TBPontus HolmbergRW
Out