NHL Matchup

Panthers @ Maple Leafs

Sat, Apr 11 11:00 PMScotiabank ArenaESPN+

Odds

Draft Kings

Puck Line

FLA +1.5·TOR -1.5

Moneyline

FLA +110·TOR -130

Total

6.5

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Maple Leafs ML

-125· moderate risk

62%

Toronto holds a meaningful crease quality advantage with a team SV% of 89.8% (#13) vs Florida's 88.3% (#27), while Florida arrives decimated by injuries including Reinhart, Lundell, Ekblad, and three other key players.

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Away

Panthers

37-38-4

16-23-1 road

78 pts

Home

Maple Leafs

32-33-14

18-13-8 home

78 pts

Season Series — FLA 1 - TOR 2

FLA 5-1 TOR

Feb 27

FLA 4-1 TOR

Jan 7

FLA 4-1 TOR

Dec 3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

27-52

Overall ATS

34-45

14-26

Away/Home ATS

16-23

9-40

As Favorite

8-24

18-12

As Underdog

26-21

0-0

Over/Under

0-0

4-6

Last 10 ATS

5-5

ATS Win%

0.3%

Avg spread: -0.4

Avg margin: -0.5

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: +0.3

Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

2.96

#21

GF/G

3.10

#16

3.43

#28

GA/G

3.59

#31

-0.4

DIFF

-0.5

Goaltending

0.883

#27

SV%

0.898

#13

3.41

#28

GAA

3.54

#30

2127

#11

2565

#32

Offense

229

#21

244

#16

376

#25

394

#20

2226

SOG

2093

#13

PP G

#24

Discipline

896

#30

PIM

732

#21

Injuries

FLAMatthew TkachukLW

Day-To-Day

FLASeth JonesD

Out

FLADmitry KulikovD

Out

FLAAaron EkbladD

Out

FLASam ReinhartC

Out

FLAAnton LundellC

Out

FLAUvis BalinskisD

Out

TORAnthony StolarzG

Day-To-Day

TORBrandon CarloD

Day-To-Day

TORDakota JoshuaC

Out