All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians
@
Kansas City Royals
Date
Wed, May 6
Time
11:40 PM
Venue
Kauffman Stadium
Spread
Royals ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Royals ML
-136 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
KC's 8-2 ATS run, 5-game win streak, home dominance, and series momentum lean toward the Royals, but Ragans' ERA disadvantage and bullpen depth concerns keep this below PICK threshold — a LEAN only.
Key Factors
KC is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games — the hottest ATS run in this matchup by a wide margin (vs CLE's 3-7 last 10)
Royals are 11-7 at home SU (.611) and 10-8 ATS (.556) at Kauffman Stadium this season
KC has won 5 straight and beaten Cleveland in both games of this series already (6-2 and 5-3)
Cleveland is on a 3-game losing streak and 9-12 on the road (.429 ATS away), the weakest road ATS mark in this matchup