All Picks
NHL · MoneylineLost
Anaheim Ducks
@
Vegas Golden Knights
Date
Thu, May 7
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-166
Risk
MOD
PICK
Golden Knights ML
-166 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
Anaheim Ducks 3, Vegas Golden Knights 1
-100.00u
The Edge
Vegas's superior team goaltending, defensive structure, home ice, and active win streak provide enough layered edges to back the Golden Knights ML at a manageable -166 price.
Key Factors
Vegas team SV% is 90.5% (#10) vs Anaheim's 88.0% (#30) — a 2.5-point gap that is the single clearest goaltending quality signal in the data
Vegas allows 0.72 fewer goals per game (2.71 GAA vs 3.43) — the largest team-level defensive edge in this matchup
Carter Hart is 11-3 in 18 GP with a 2.71 GAA vs Dostal's 3.10 GAA in 56 GP — Hart is the sharper crease option on current form
Vegas is on a W3 streak, won the head-to-head 3-1 on May 05, and carries a +1.0 point differential vs Anaheim's +0.4