All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Montreal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
Date
Wed, May 6
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
KeyBank Center
Spread
Sabres ML
Odds
-130
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Sabres ML
-130 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
LEAN Buffalo ML on the strength of a clear offensive and goal-differential edge at home, but Montreal's elite road ATS record and faceoff dominance keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Buffalo +1.3 point differential vs Montreal +0.1 — a full 1.2-goal quality gap over the season
Buffalo scores 3.33 goals/game vs Montreal's 2.29 — over a full goal per game better offensively
Buffalo generates 31.7 shots/game vs Montreal's 22.3 — a dominant puck-possession and pressure edge
Alex Lyon SV% .907 and GAA 2.77 with 3 shutouts in 36 GP — slightly edges Dobes (.901 SV%, 2.78 GAA)