All Picks
NBA · Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers
@
Detroit Pistons
Date
Thu, May 7
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Little Caesars Arena
Spread
Cavaliers +3.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cavaliers +3.5
-110 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Cleveland's elite road ATS performance against a Detroit team that struggles to cover at home gives the Cavaliers +3.5 a lean, though Detroit's defensive superiority and Game 1 win keep this from reaching PICK territory.
Key Factors
Cleveland road ATS record is elite at 26-15 (.634) vs Detroit's poor home ATS of 19-22 (.463) — a 17-point gap in cover rate
Cleveland has superior offensive efficiency: Off RTG 116.3 vs Detroit's 114.3, plus better FG% (46.6% vs 44.0%) and eFG% (56.1 vs 54.6)
Detroit went 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, covering only once, suggesting recent line-beating struggles
Kevin Huerter is OUT for Detroit, removing a rotation piece from a team already being asked to cover -3.5 at home