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MLB · Moneyline
New York Mets
New York Mets
@
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Date
Thu, May 7
Time
7:10 PM
Venue
Coors Field
Spread
Mets ML
Odds
-156
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mets ML
-156 · 1 Unit
68%

The Edge

The Mets carry clear pitching and momentum edges and have already beaten this Rockies team twice at Coors this week, but the -156 price on a team with a .361 ATS record and an unknown starter at altitude keeps this a LEAN rather than a PICK.

Key Factors

Mets team ERA 3.94 vs Rockies 4.74 — a full run gap favoring New York's pitching staff
Mets have won 2 of 2 games already played at Coors Field in this series (May 4: 4-2, May 7: 10-5) and lead the season series 3-2
Colorado on a 6-game losing streak with an L6 streak tag; Mets riding W3 momentum
Rockies opponent OPS allowed is 0.789 vs Mets opponent OPS of 0.674 — Colorado's pitching is significantly more hittable