All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Milwaukee Brewers
Date
Fri, May 8
Time
11:40 PM
Venue
American Family Field
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-131
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-131 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
The Yankees carry clear offensive and pitching superiority across nearly every team metric, but the starter ERA gap is modest and Milwaukee's home environment keeps this a LEAN rather than a full PICK.
Key Factors
Max Fried's 2.39 ERA vs Misiorowski's 2.84 ERA gives NYY the pitching edge in this matchup
Yankees team OPS of .794 dwarfs Milwaukee's .697, and NYY has hit 61 HR vs MIL's 24 — a massive power gap
Yankees are 7-3 ATS last 10 and 11-7 ATS on the road (.611), the strongest road ATS mark in this dataset
NYY team ERA of 3.04 and opponent OPS allowed of .633 vs MIL's 3.60 ERA and .670 opponent OPS — Yankees are the superior pitching team top to bottom