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NHL · Moneyline
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Sat, May 9
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-112
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Golden Knights ML
-112 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Vegas gets a LEAN on the strength of a real goaltending edge and positive goal differential, but Anaheim's elite home ATS record and offensive volume keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Team SV% edge: VGK 90.7% (#10 league) vs ANA 88.7% (#27 league) — a 2.0% gap that is statistically meaningful
Carter Hart's GAA of 2.71 vs Dostal's 3.10 — nearly a half-goal-per-game crease quality advantage
Vegas on a W3 streak vs Anaheim on W1; VGK avg margin +0.7 vs ANA avg margin -0.5
VGK faceoff dominance at 53.6% vs ANA 47.1% — controls puck possession and limits ANA offensive zone time