All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
@
Chicago White Sox
Date
Sat, May 9
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Rate Field
Spread
Mariners ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-136 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Seattle's superior team pitching metrics and momentum lean them ahead of a skidding White Sox squad, but two bad starters, a hitter-friendly park, and Chicago's strong ATS record as a home dog keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Seattle team ERA 3.75 vs Chicago 4.44 — a 0.69 gap favoring Mariners pitching depth when starters (both 5.70+ ERA) exit early
Seattle team WHIP 1.23 vs Chicago 1.38 — Mariners pitching allows fewer baserunners across the board
Seattle on a W2 streak vs Chicago on an L3 streak, including a 12-8 loss to this same Mariners team yesterday
Seattle ATS as road underdog 1-3 (.250) is weak, but Chicago ATS as home underdog is 19-14 (.576) — however Seattle is the -136 FAVORITE here, not the underdog, and Chicago's overall ATS edge is largely driven by underdog covers at +money