All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
@
San Diego Padres
Date
Sun, May 10
Time
8:10 PM
Venue
Petco Park
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
+113 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Cardinals ML is a lean on the strength of their elite road ATS record and hot 7-3 ATS run at plus money, but the underdog price, pitcher-friendly park, and thin pitching data prevent this from reaching PICK confidence.
Key Factors
Cardinals ATS last 10 is 7-3 vs Padres 4-6 — a meaningful 30-point gap in recent cover rate
Cardinals road ATS record is 12-7 (.632), elite by any standard, vs Padres home ATS of 13-9 (.591)
Pitcher ERA edge favors Cardinals: Leahy 4.93 vs Buehler 5.64 — Padres starter is the worse arm on the mound
Cardinals team OPS (.716) and runs scored (184) both outpace Padres (.670 OPS, 167 runs), giving STL the offensive edge