All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montreal Canadiens
Date
Sun, May 10
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Bell Centre
Spread
Canadiens ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Canadiens ML
-122 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Montreal gets a LEAN as the home favorite riding a dominant H2H result and superior home ATS splits, but the near-even moneyline and Buffalo's offensive edge keep this well short of a PICK.
Key Factors
Montreal's home ATS record is .585 vs Buffalo's road ATS record of .488 — a clear split favoring the home side
Montreal won the last H2H meeting 5-1 at home (May 08), giving them a psychological and momentum edge in this rematch
Montreal's team GAA of 2.22 (#31 in league, meaning fewest goals allowed) edges Buffalo's 2.38 (#29), and team SV% of 91.7% (#4) beats Buffalo's 91.3% (#5)
Buffalo is on a L1 streak and their last game was that 1-5 loss to Montreal — same opponent, same building, fresh sting