All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Mon, May 11
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Golden Knights ML
-122 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Vegas is the cleaner side given elite team goaltending, superior goal differential, and recent head-to-head dominance, but Hart's unconfirmed status and Anaheim's elite ATS record as a home underdog cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Team SV% gap is significant: VGK 91.2% (#6) vs ANA 87.9% (#32 — dead last in the league), a 3.3-point difference that is the largest possible crease quality gap
VGK allows 2.67 goals/game vs ANA's 3.44 — a 0.77 GAA differential favoring Vegas defensively
Vegas won the most recent head-to-head 6-2 at Anaheim and leads the season series 2-1, showing direct dominance over this opponent
VGK on a W3 streak with a +0.88 goal differential edge and superior faceoff rate (53.9% vs 46.7%), controlling puck possession