All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Yankees
@
Baltimore Orioles
Date
Mon, May 11
Time
10:35 PM
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-175
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-175 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
The Yankees' clear pitching edge and team quality gap justify a lean at -175, but the steep price, a 3-game cold streak, and Baltimore's home underdog ATS record (+1.5 at .526) keep this short of a full PICK.
Key Factors
Yankees team ERA of 3.14 vs Orioles 4.74 — a 1.60 gap that signals a meaningful pitching quality edge across the full roster
Yankees starter Ryan Weathers (3.03 ERA, 2-2) vs Brandon Young (4.35 ERA, 3-1) — a 1.32 ERA delta favoring the Yankees arm
Yankees opponent OPS of .628 vs Orioles opponent OPS of .777 — Yankees pitching staff is suppressing opposing offenses at an elite level
Yankees overall win rate .634 vs Orioles .439, and Baltimore is only 9-12 ATS at home this season (.429)