All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels
@
Cleveland Guardians
Date
Tue, May 12
Time
10:10 PM
Venue
Progressive Field
Spread
Guardians ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-136 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Cleveland's elite home ATS splits, superior team pitching metrics, and Angels' road struggles and injury-depleted roster make the Guardians a credible lean at -136, though Cecconi's 6.15 ERA keeps this short of a full PICK.
Key Factors
Cleveland's home ATS record is an elite 13-7 (.650), and as home underdogs/favorites they cover at 15-7 (.682) — the strongest split in this dataset
Guardians team ERA (3.89) and WHIP (1.28) are meaningfully better than Angels' ERA (4.63) and WHIP (1.45), indicating superior overall pitching depth
Cleveland won the series opener 7-2 yesterday and carries a W1 streak vs LAA's L1, with a +0.0 run differential vs Angels' -0.7
Angels are 8-16 on the road this season (.333) and only 11-13 ATS away from home (.458), while carrying 6+ players on the IL including two catchers and multiple relievers