All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Detroit Tigers
@
New York Mets
Date
Wed, May 13
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-108
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-108 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Detroit's offensive superiority and the Mets' historically bad home ATS record create a lean toward the Tigers ML at near-even money (-108), but the pitching disadvantage and Detroit's poor road record cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Detroit's team OPS (.716) significantly outpaces New York's (.634), the largest offensive gap in this dataset
Mets are 5-14 (.263) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league
Detroit ATS overall is 21-21 (.500) vs Mets' 15-26 (.366), a 13-point edge in ATS win rate
Framber Valdez (4.57 ERA) vs Christian Scott (3.27 ERA) is a pitcher edge for NYM, but Detroit's lineup (177 runs, 38 HR) is better equipped to generate run support against a young starter