All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
@
Atlanta Braves
Date
Wed, May 13
Time
11:15 PM
Venue
Truist Park
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
+113 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Atlanta's home dominance, superior team pitching, and red-hot ATS form create a lean toward the Braves ML at plus money, but Imanaga's clear edge over Ritchie on the mound keeps this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Atlanta ATS last 10: 8-2 (.800) vs Chicago ATS last 10: 4-6 (.400) — a 40-point gap in recent cover rate
Atlanta team ERA 3.11 vs Chicago team ERA 3.85 — a 0.74 ERA advantage reflecting a meaningfully stronger pitching staff
Atlanta home ATS record 12-7 (.632) vs Chicago road ATS record 7-12 (.368) — a 26-point split favoring the home side
Atlanta opponent OPS allowed: .633 vs Chicago opponent OPS allowed: .681 — Braves pitching suppresses opposing offenses at an elite level