All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
San Diego Padres
@
Milwaukee Brewers
Date
Wed, May 13
Time
11:40 PM
Venue
American Family Field
Spread
Brewers ML
Odds
-156
Risk
MOD
PICK
Brewers ML
-156 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
San Diego Padres 3, Milwaukee Brewers 1
-100.00u
The Edge
Milwaukee's superior pitching staff, elite home ATS record, and red-hot 8-2 ATS momentum make the Brewers ML a credible moderate-favorite play at -156.
Key Factors
Brewers starter Misiorowski (3-2, 2.45 ERA) holds a 0.31 ERA edge over King (3-2, 2.76), both elite but Milwaukee's arm is sharper
Milwaukee team ERA 3.45 vs San Diego 4.13 — a 0.68 gap favoring Brewers pitching staff overall
Brewers 8-2 ATS last 10 games vs Padres 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 50-point momentum gap
Milwaukee 14-8 home ATS (.636) vs San Diego 9-9 road ATS (.500), and Brewers carry a +1.5 run differential edge vs Padres at +0.0