All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Detroit Tigers
@
New York Mets
Date
Thu, May 14
Time
5:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
+136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
+136 · 1 Unit
58%
The Edge
A lean toward Tigers ML at +136 is justified by Detroit's offensive superiority, the Mets' historically bad home ATS record, and meaningful Mets lineup injuries, but Detroit's own road futility and the pitching edge for McLean keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Mets are 6-14 (.300) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league
Detroit has a significantly better team OPS (0.713 vs 0.630) and BA (.242 vs .225), giving them a clear offensive edge
Detroit has scored 179 runs vs Mets' 152, a 27-run gap on comparable games played
Mets carry a heavy injury load including Lindor (SS, 10-day IL), Francisco Alvarez (C, 10-day IL), and Juan Soto (day-to-day) — significant lineup disruption