All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Montreal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
Date
Thu, May 14
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
KeyBank Center
Spread
Sabres ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Sabres ML
-122 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Buffalo gets a LEAN on the strength of superior goaltending and home offense, but the near-even moneyline, elite Montreal road ATS record, and dead-even series keep this well short of a PICK.
Key Factors
Luukkonen outperforms Dobes in both key goalie metrics: .910 SV% vs .901 and 2.52 GAA vs 2.78 — a clear crease edge for Buffalo
Buffalo scores more per game (3.00 vs 2.82) and generates more shots (28.5 vs 25.3), giving them an offensive volume edge at home
Buffalo won the most recent head-to-head on May 12 (3-2) and holds home-ice advantage in a tied 2-2 series
Buffalo's home ATS record is 23-18 (.561) and they are 7-3 ATS last 10, showing strong recent form