All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Fri, May 15
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-112
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Golden Knights ML
-112 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
LEAN Golden Knights ML — the goaltending and defensive metrics point clearly to Vegas, but near-even juice and Anaheim's strong ATS home profile keep this below PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Team SV% edge: VGK 90.9% (#5 league) vs ANA 88.1% (#30 league) — a 2.8-point gap that is the largest team-level crease quality differential in the data
VGK allows 0.63 fewer goals per game (2.73 vs 3.36), indicating a structurally tighter defensive system
Carter Hart individual numbers (SV% .891, GAA 2.71, record 11-3 in 18 GP) outperform Dostal (SV% .888, GAA 3.10 in 56 GP), with Hart running notably hotter on GAA
VGK enters on a W3 streak and won the most recent head-to-head 3-2, while Anaheim has lost 4 of last 5 and is 1-4 in this series