All Picks
NBA · Spread
Cleveland Cavaliers
@
Detroit Pistons
Date
Mon, May 18
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Little Caesars Arena
Spread
Cavaliers +4.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cavaliers +4.5
-110 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Cleveland's elite road ATS profile and Detroit's weak home cover rate provide enough line value to lean the Cavaliers +4.5, but Detroit's superior net rating and defensive efficiency cap this at a lean rather than a pick.
Key Factors
Cleveland road ATS record is elite at 26-15 (.634) vs Detroit's poor home ATS of 19-22 (.463) — a 17-point gap in cover rate
Cleveland's eFG% (56.1) and TS% (59.5) both exceed Detroit's (54.6 / 58.3), indicating superior shooting efficiency on offense
Head-to-head series is tied 3-3 with Cleveland winning two of the last three matchups, including a 113-117 road win on May 14
Cleveland as a road underdog covers at 6-3 (.667), making this specific role historically favorable for the Cavaliers