All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
Philadelphia Phillies
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Sun, May 17
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Pirates ML
Odds
-143
Risk
MOD
PICK
Pirates ML
-143 · 1 Unit
78%
❌ Loss
Philadelphia Phillies 6, Pittsburgh Pirates 0
-100.00u
The Edge
Skenes' elite ERA, Pittsburgh's superior team pitching and offense, and a dominant home-underdog ATS split (.611) give the Pirates enough of a multi-layered edge to back at -143 as a moderate favorite.
Key Factors
Skenes ERA 1.98 vs Wheeler ERA 2.55 — 0.57 gap favors the home starter; Skenes is among the elite arms in baseball this season
Pirates team ERA 3.84 vs Phillies team ERA 4.31, and team WHIP 1.24 vs 1.37 — Pittsburgh's pitching staff is demonstrably better top to bottom
Pirates ATS as home underdog 11-7 (.611) vs Phillies ATS as road favorite 12-25 (.324) — massive split favoring Pittsburgh in this exact role
Pittsburgh team OPS .726 and BA .250 vs Philadelphia .694 / .235 — Pirates offense outperforms Phillies across the board, scoring 229 runs to PHI's 193