All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
@
Seattle Mariners
Date
Tue, May 19
Time
1:40 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Spread
White Sox ML
Odds
+144
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
White Sox ML
+144 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Chicago's elite underdog ATS profile and Seattle's historically poor home ATS record create enough value at +144 for a lean, but Woo's ERA advantage and Seattle's superior team pitching prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Chicago ATS overall 26-20 (.565) vs Seattle ATS overall 17-31 (.354) — a 21% gap in ATS win rate
Chicago 7-3 ATS last 10 games; Seattle only 4-6 ATS last 10
Seattle only 9-17 (.346) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the data
Chicago as underdog ATS: 26-15 (.634); Seattle as favorite ATS: 16-28 (.364) — both splits favor Chicago