All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
@
Seattle Mariners
Date
Wed, May 20
Time
1:40 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Spread
White Sox ML
Odds
+124
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
White Sox ML
+124 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
The ATS trend and underdog price on Chicago are attractive, but the pitching matchup favors Seattle's Bryce Miller over Anthony Kay by a meaningful margin, keeping this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Chicago ATS overall 26-21 (.553) vs Seattle ATS overall 18-31 (.367) — a 19% gap in ATS win rate
Chicago 7-3 ATS last 10 games; Seattle only 4-6 ATS last 10
Seattle is 10-17 (.370) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league
Chicago +124 moneyline offers underdog value against a Seattle team that is 23-26 overall (.469) at home