All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
San Francisco Giants
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Date
Wed, May 20
Time
7:40 PM
Venue
Chase Field
Spread
Diamondbacks ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Diamondbacks ML
-136 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Arizona's superior home record, ATS dominance, offensive output, and series momentum give a clear directional lean, but both starters are shaky and the price at -136 keeps this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Arizona's home ATS record is 15-8 (.652) vs SF's road ATS record of 11-16 (.407) — a 24-point gap in cover rate
Arizona's overall ATS record is 29-18 (.617) vs SF's 21-28 (.429) — a 19% edge in ATS win rate
Arizona has outscored opponents by a better margin (-0.1 avg) vs SF (-1.0 avg), and has scored 215 runs to SF's 170 on the season
Arizona's team OPS of .713 vs SF's .713 opponent OPS suggests ARI offense matches up well against SF pitching, while SF's .669 OPS faces a superior ARI WHIP of 1.28 vs SF's 1.35