All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Wed, May 20
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Guardians ML
Odds
-126
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-126 · 1 Unit
65%
The Edge
Cleveland's superior record, active win streak, proven edge over Detroit in this series, and Detroit's gutted rotation tip the balance toward the Guardians ML at a reasonable -126 price, but Detroit's elite home ATS record and Bibee's 0-6 mark cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Cleveland is 28-22 (.560) vs Detroit 20-29 (.408) — a 15-game gap in win percentage favoring the Guardians
Detroit's rotation is decimated: Skubal (IL), Verlander (IL), Madden (IL) — TBD starter creates massive unknown vs Tanner Bibee (named starter) for Cleveland
Cleveland has won 4 straight including 8-2 and 4-3 wins over Detroit in this same series; Detroit is on a 4-game losing streak
Cleveland's team ERA (3.78) and Opp OPS (0.705) both outperform Detroit's ERA (4.03) and Opp OPS (0.694 — slight edge to Detroit there), but overall pitching staff quality favors Cleveland