All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays
@
New York Yankees
Date
Thu, May 21
Time
11:05 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-156
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-156 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Yankees home dominance and run differential edge produce a lean toward New York ML, but Rodon's poor ERA and Toronto's recent series resilience prevent this from reaching PICK confidence.
Key Factors
Yankees are 16-7 at home (.696) vs Blue Jays 9-16 on the road (.360) — a 33-point win-rate gap in New York's favor
Yankees +1.6 run differential edge over Toronto (-0.2 vs +1.4 avg margin)
Yankees team OPS .760 vs Blue Jays .760 — Yankees significantly outpace Toronto in run production (250 runs vs 200) and home runs (73 vs 44)
Yankees superior team ERA (3.34) and WHIP (1.17) vs Blue Jays (4.00 / 1.29) suggests bullpen and overall pitching depth favors New York