All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
Date
Sat, May 23
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-205
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Avalanche ML
-205 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Wedgewood's elite goaltending and Colorado's dominant home record provide a real edge, but COL at -205 demands 67% break-even and the ATS home struggles plus Makar's health keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Scott Wedgewood holds a massive .030 SV% edge over Carter Hart (.921 vs .891) and a -0.69 GAA advantage (2.02 vs 2.71) — the single biggest leverage factor in hockey
Colorado's home record of 26-9-6 (.738 win%) is dominant, and they are playing in Ball Arena where home ice provides a real edge
Colorado scores 3.90 goals/game vs VGK's 3.69, and generates significantly more shots (33.1 vs 27.5 per game), creating sustained offensive pressure
Colorado won Game 1 of this series 4-2 on May 21, establishing early series momentum with Wedgewood in net