All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Miami Marlins
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Sun, Jun 14
Time
4:15 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Pirates ML
Odds
-162
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-162 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Pittsburgh's offensive superiority and home advantage give a lean toward the Pirates ML at -162, but Miami's 8-2 ATS run and near-identical pitching matchup keep this firmly in LEAN territory rather than a strong PICK.
Key Factors
Pittsburgh holds a significant offensive edge: team OPS .738 vs Miami's .705, 357 runs scored vs 306, and 84 HR vs 58 HR on the season
Pirates are 20-18 at home SU vs Marlins' 12-20 road record — a stark home/road split favoring Pittsburgh
Paul Skenes (6-5, 2.84 ERA) matches Max Meyer (6-0, 2.85 ERA) nearly identically on ERA, but Pittsburgh's superior run support (357 vs 306) gives Skenes a better chance to win
Pittsburgh's opponent OPS allowed (.695) is worse than Miami's (.676), but Pirates' home environment and offensive depth offset that gap