All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Athletics
Date
Tue, Jun 16
Time
1:40 AM
Venue
Sutter Health Park
Spread
Athletics ML
Odds
-123
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Athletics ML
-123 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Ginn's ERA advantage and the Athletics' strong recent ATS form provide a lean toward Oakland, but the team-level pitching gap and thin price keep this below PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Starter ERA delta: Ginn 3.15 vs Jones 4.73 — a 1.58-run gap that meets the 1.5+ threshold for a significant pitching edge
Athletics ATS last 10: 7-3 (.700) vs Pirates 4-6 (.400) — Athletics running noticeably hotter
Athletics as home underdog ATS: 33-18 (.647) — elite cover rate in this role, and they are the favorite here at -123, suggesting strong home performance overall
Athletics overall ATS: 39-32 (.549) vs Pirates 35-37 (.486) — a 6% gap in ATS win rate across the full season